TheLineBreakers.Com

NFL and College football for 9/28-9/30

**BONUS PICK AT BOTTOM**

College football

1.Washington state/Utah over 56.5

We all saw last week how mikes leaches offense can score big at any time. The QB for Washington state scored a total of 9 touchdowns in their game last week vs UCLA. We also saw that Washington state can not handle really stopping teams from scoring. This over is very high but we feel that both the high powered offense can score in this game and that the defense’s will not really be a factor. 

 

1. Washington Huskies -10.5

 

Over the last few years we have seen Washington win a bunch of these games. They have proved to us that they can win these games and show that they are a team to be trusted in big games. They have Jacob Easton who will be playing on Sundays next year. He has a big arm and they love to show it off with their offensive scheme. USC is on to their third string QB this week. He had some success last week but it was against a totally different opponent. Washington will give him fits at times and really show that they want this win. Take the huskies and watch as they win you this ticket. 

 

1. Hawaii +2.5

 

A big Mountain West game is coming up this weekend. Hawaii has really come out firing on the offensive side of the ball this year and that is why we love them in this game. Their offense is not afraid to throw the ball around the field and they really trust their QB McDonald with making plays. Take Hawaii getting 2.5 , we would not be surprised if they won outright this weekend. 

 

1. Troy -7

 

Looking at the college football slate of games we go through our normal protocol looking for the games with the best edge. As we were looking we saw that the QB for Arkansas State is getting his first college start this weekend in a hostile territory. We like our odds in this game even with Troy having to cover 7 points. We will fade a QB making his first start every time, especially on the road. Take Troy and watch as they grow your bank roll!!! 

 

1. Michigan state/indiana under 44

 

Both of these teams have been very stingy on defense this year. Michigan state is 3rd in the nation in yards allowed per game. Indiana is no slouch either with giving up just the 25th most allowed yards per game. We expect this game to be a low scoring affair. It will be raining today and tomorrow up until game til which we see as a plus with this bet because it will effect the field conditions in a way to favorthe under. Take the under in this one and watch as your bank roll grows!!!  

 

NFL

 

1. Ravens -7 vs Browns 

 

The Browns were the most over hyped team before the season began and they have already been exposed to be a mediocre team, at best. Baker Mayfield has regressed in his sophomore season, with a head coach in his rookie season seems over matched in all areas. He can’t even handle a press conference. Ravens are coming off a hard fought loss to KC on  the road. On Sunday they welcome super bowl winning coach Brian Billick into their circle of fame with many of his former players their in attendance, I expect this to serve as an emotional

Boost as the Ravens expose the Browns on both sides of the ball. 

 

1. Chargers -15 vs Dolphins

 

I know that 15 points on the road is a lot, but the Fish are ranking and have been since BEFORE the season started. Teams usually give up after a bad start and see the season being lost. They then start thinking about being at the top of the draft next year. The Fish will have four first round picks next year and are looking to take QB/WR tandem from Alabama, Tua and Jeudy. Chargers are better on the road, as they don’t have a home stadium yet and although Melvin Gordon will not play, having him report to camp yesterday will help team morale I believe and will fire them for a beatdown on a team that never comes to playing the first Place. Miamiis 0-3 ATS and I think they will make it 0-4. 

 

1. Bengals/Steelers under 44

 

As I have pointed out in the past, some division rivalries are bigger than others. And non is more intense than this one. Even when the Steelers are dominating they have had trouble with the Bengals. And now with both teams sporting 0-3 records, they will both be desperate for a win. Just a total of 103 points have been scored combined by both teams, just17 points per game for both teams. They would have to do much better to hit the over in this one and I think it will be a very tough fought battle. Take the under and look for a slugfest. 

 

1. Kansas City at Detroit Lions Under 55

 

It is no shock the Patrick Mahomes has started this 2019 NFL season off with a bang, scoring at will. He is a QB that seems to effortless score on offense and help his team win games. The Chiefs will head to Detroit to square off vs. the Lions. We like the under here and not laying the 6.5 road favorite number on the board. The chiefs have now scored 2 games in the 30’s and 1 game just below 30, can’t sustain this. We know that teams that play on the road eventually go through some scoring droughts and have trouble manufacturing offense. We see the number 55 here and yell under, don’t get caught up with the chiefs beating the spread. The play here is under 55 total points as Detroit in our eyes Is fraudulent. This Lions team beat a chargers team at home who did everything possible to lose the game, not to mention having 3 separate TD’s called back or fumbled at the goal line. The Lions will have a tough time scoring points here in this game even at home. We also know that the NFL doesn’t care about covering spreads. We see the chiefs scoring 20-28 points and holding on to a victory, but better yet the lions will score 14 or less in our predictions. This total is way to high and we are happy to fade. We need 7 TD’s and 2 FG to be beat here and we are happy to lay our money against it. Take the under 55 here as we see the odds makers scared to set too low of a total.

 

1. Oakland Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Over 45

 

 We are on the Over here for several reasons, don’t start freaking out. The Colts and Raiders are a couple of the NFL’s worst defenses despite the Colts almost being 3-0. We see a lot of wholes and letting QB’s throw at will on both these defenses. The Colts almost collapsed to a valiant Atlanta effort at the end of the game and if it were for stupid decisions in the beginning of the game Atlanta might have won that game in a shoot out. The Raiders are just poor in general and have played 2 of the NFL’s premier teams. Even though the Colts and the Raiders seem like they might struggle on offense we can’t examine their offenses, but we have to examine both of their defenses and we see some huge wholes. The Colts have had the ability to come away with just enough stops to make sure they have won their two games, but they have allowed a pretty high percentage on 3rd down conversions. The Raiders have also not been able to stop anyone as 2 out of the 3 opponents faced have score 28+ points. This game is screaming over on our picks, despite the public going under. You want to be on the right side of this bet, take the over and watch how both teams despite being mediocre put up big numbers on Sunday. Take Over 45 points and watch this ticket cash

 

**Bonus pick**

 

Rams -9 vs Bucs

 

The Rams are one of only 4 teams that are 3-0against the spread and I look for them to continue to beat the odds. The Bucs blew a 28-10 half timeless at home to the Giants last week. They only scored 3 points in the second half and let a rookie WB beat them and win offensive player of the week. C’Mon man. You cost me money. As I said last week the rams are the real deal and covering 9 points should be nothing for last year’s NFC champions. Bus head coach and defensive coordinator made some ridiculous moves last week and I am starting to this they were both overrated as what they could accomplish after being apart for four years. Bowles couldn’t stop a rookie QB in his first game in his house and lit him up for 32 points! Good luck vs all the weapons on the Rams. This shouldn’t be close 

 

 

 

NFL and College football for 9/14-9/16

 

College Football week 3 Plays

1. Middle Tennessee (+6)

Middle Tennessee faces off vs The Duke Blue Devils this Saturday. Duke is really not the same team they were last year, they have lost their starting QB to the nfl and are in an in between year at that position. They were horrible in their game vs Alabama. Middle Tennessee is looking to come out and fire on all cylinders, they see this as their super bowl, their national championship and will set the tone early. We love them getting six points and would advise you to take the points. Spotify our data is saying that they have a great chance of winning outright. Take middle Tennessee and let’s have a great bounce back weekend!!!!

2. Oklahoma Sooners (-23.5)

The Sooners travel to the west coast for this week 3 matchup. They face of against UCLA and are big favorites. They have shown that they can really score at will their first two games Chip Kelly’s Bruins have started out 0-2 in his second year as head coach. They have came out and lost two really bad games and now they have the big bad bullies from the Big 12 coming to town. We love Jalen hurts and his weapons in this game. Lincoln Riley is the best offensive mind in college football and this is the year he wants to really win it all after losing twice in the last two years in the semifinals. This game will be used as a call to action for his team so that they can stay focused on a west coast trip that couple very well happen come January. Watch as the Sooners dominate this whole game and cover the spread. BOOMER SOONER!!!! 

3. Colorado Buffaloes (-3.5)

Colorado is coming off of a huge win vs Nebraska last week. They come back with another home game vs Air Force this week. Air Force is an all out running attack team, they have only attempted one pass this year. They are a team that can control the pace of the game if they are able to keep the chains moving. We see buffalo getting an early lead and Air Forces game style is the worst when they are chasing down a lead. This game on paper is basically a pick’em, but we love the Buffaloes playing in front of their home crowd. We would not be surprised at all if this game was a 2 TD game at all. Take the Buffaloes and LFG!!!! 

4. Maryland Terrapins (-7)

The Terps have really just destroyed their first two opponents by now than 60 points each. Now they are playing Temple in an away game. This game is an early one and we love the Terps. Not only do they have a cool nickname but they have a laundry list of skilled players that have really gelled and shown that they can run this heavy passing offense ran by QB Josh Jackson. The Terps have way too much speed for Temple To be able to handle them, we would not be surprised at all if this game got out of hand in a hurry. Take the Terps to cover 7 and let’s grow your bankroll!!! 

5. Memphis Tigers vs. South Alabama Jaguars 57.5 Over 

This might be a “what the hell” kind of reaction from yourself with this pick. However, this is a game where we see there is good value on this over/under. No one really knows these teams, but we know that Memphis likes to run the score up on a lot of teams and they are a great offense that can score at will vs. sub average opponents. This should be an easy over as both teams had 500 yards of offense last week and we know Memphis will go off on South Alabama. We are counting on Memphis to hit 45 points like we know they can and have South Alabama bring us home with 14 points. Memphis vs South Alabama over 57.5 is the right play here and we see this being an easy over, take over and feel good having this ticket cash. 

 

NFL WEEK 2

6. Atlanta Falcons Spread +1.5

Yes. We took the Falcons last week and they obliterated by the Vikings, losing 28-12. If there is one thing we will aim to teach you about sports betting in the NFL is two fold. First, you can’t over react to what a team does week to week especially if there are injuries or players not practicing. Second, home dogs of even strength are going to cover more often than not. If you are like most of the public and think the falcons are terrible you be wrong and will lose money taking the eagles this weekend. The home dogs will play more emotional at home, especially in the home opener in Atlanta on a prime time night. There is also a reason they say it is hard to win on the road in the NFL, its true. For those who think the Falcons are a bad pick simply because they were terrible let us fill you in on what you need to know. The Falcons were sloppy, but did you know they controlled the time of possession? We bet you didn’t. The falcons played one of the worst games they have in recent memory and teams that get embarrassed practice harder and come to play. One key thing was the Falcons had a bunch of turnovers, blocked punt, Julio not practicing, the worst of the worst, etc. The Falcons are a super underrated team and that’s where we define value. Matt Ryan is great in home openers and this is an easy bet with the home dog who is probably the better team, despite public opinion moving line the other way. We will fade the road favorite here who had a hard time beating a shit team at home and finally rallied past them late. Take the Falcons as they show you that week 1 is hard, but the over reaction betting will get you killed. We are on the Falcons and when they win you will be happy that you had them too.

7. Over 47.5 Chargers vs. Lions

We have been talking on the podcast about over/unders and the value can provide. This game will be a very high scoring game and although 47.5 is a decent amount of points we are all over this Over, pardon the pun. The Chargers were beating up on the Colts and then let them slowly back into the game before winning with a TD in overtime. We saw Phillip Rivers throw for 350 yards and 3 TD’s, looking sharper than ever. We like the veteran to stay on track vs. the Lions who let a true rookie come back from a great deficit to force a tie. Rivers should be able to make quick work of the Lions defense. We see the lions being down most of this game and Stafford having to throw to keep them in and the point totals going way high. The Chargers are not the lock down team like they were a year ago, allowing 300 yards to a backup in Brissett. The chargers were 7/11 on third down and also gave up 7/11 on third down. The pick here is the over and the value is there. Take the Over 47.5 as most people won’t see it a good pick for two teams who can’t stop anyone.

8. Cleveland Browns  -6

Prior to the announcement that QB Darnold was sidelined with mono I had already bet the Browns at -2.5.  Now I still like them even more with Bell not practicing, Enunwa out for year, again and probably forever with serious neck injury.  Jets also canned their kicker after missing a short field goal and an extra point. Probably cost them the game. That was a horrible loss and Coach Gase throwing his own players under the bus after a week 1 loss is reprehensible.  The Browns played as bad as possible in week one with 18 penalties, 3 late INT’s and 5 sacks. They can’t possibly play that bad again and the devastating news to Jets might just be too much to overcome. Now looking at a 0-6 start.  Bell getting an MRI as I write this is also troubling to say the least.

9. Buffalo Bills -1.5

Buffalo returns to the Meadowlands where they overcame a 0-16 deficit against the Jets to win 17-16.  Buoyed by that performance and a hapless Giants defense with no corners and no pass rush, look for Bills to dominate.  Eli is a pocket passer and cannot at his age change into a mobile QB, despite what coaches might think. With the Bills impressive defense, it could be a long day for Big Blue.  Giants looked bad on all three phases of the game against Dallas and made Dak look like Aaron Rodgers. He should thank the Giants for new contract he’ll be getting.  

10. Los Angeles Rams -2.5  

In a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship game which left the Saints team, coaches, owners and fans crazy mad I expect emotions to be running high, to say the least.  But despite the fact that they want revenge, Brees is starting to show his age. If this game were being played in New Orleans, I would have a different opinion, but Rams at home I believe will prevail by more than a field goal.  Saints were lucky to pull out a last second win last week, but that was due to poor defensive plan by Texans at the end of the game. Rams have a great home winning record and should win and cover against the Saints, again.

The Line Breakers College Football and NFL picks for 9/7-9/9

 

Line Breakers Daily Picks and NFL Future Over/Unders

***We advise looking into using pointsbet app for betting our picks, value is a big part of gambling. The pointsbet app is running promos to bet Atlanta and spreads are -105. This value is great for betting NFL, just a heads up from– TheLineBreakers***

College Football

1. Stanford/USC under 43 points

Stanford goes into the Trojans stadium after a tough defensive battle vs Northwestern. USC is coming off losing their starting QB for the season off an ACL tear. Losing a key player like that at any level is tough but especially at USC. They had second year starter J.T. Daniels go down after showing real promise for growth in his second season. Stanford comes into this year like they do every year. Stanford is also going to be missing their 2 year starter in KJ Costello. We expect both offenses to take a hit and you will see that in the game total. It is also big news to know that Stanford is missing their big left tackle in this game as well, we know they love to run the ball so this will definitely be a game changer for them. Take the under and watch as you grow your bank roll!!!

2. Clemson Tigers/Texas A&M over 63 points

We will have a real barn burner for everyone here. Get your popcorn ready for this 3:30 game on saturday afternoon. Clemson is coming off a first week win(no surprise there), but they made a lot of mistakes. Some of those mistakes came on two interceptions thrown by star QB Trevor Lawrence. He will be better in this game and expect them to be firing on all cylinders. With saying that, they did get a lot of their defensive line drafted into the NFL. Texas A&M is a team that is coached well. Jimbo Fisher has been in good ames and will have his team ready to play. They will use their SEC speed to fly around the field and be able to keep up with Clemson, at least for the first half. We see this as a big over hit and feel you wont need to sweat this one out at all. Take the over and lets get this ticket cashed!!!!

3. Texas Longhorns (+7)

TEXAS IS BACK!!! This is one of those games that puts the longhorns back on the map. They have been flirting with being back for the past couple of years but tonight is when the really break through and beat a top ranked team. It is Austin which only really helps the Longhorns, you don’t really want to play in Tiger Stadium. Star QB for Texas, Sam Ehling has been waiting for this moment all spring and summer camp long. We have all seen he is not afraid to run the ball but he is really to show that he can beat you inside the pocket as well, tonight he will showcase his duel threat skills and be a force. QB Joe Burrow does not really jump off the page at you when looking at his stats, this team will be in hostile territory. Take the points and Hook’Em. 

4. PENN STATE (-29.5)

The Lions have played the Bulls three times in their history and the Lions lead it 2-1. Last Time the Lions lost to the Bulls? 1900. Enough said here.  Penn State will dominate again at Beaver Stadium this week as they put up another impressive air and rushing attack that will prove to much for the Bulls. Buffalo will put up more resistance this week with their freshman quarterback who went 5 for 10 with 69 yards against Robert Morris. BY THE WAY!!!! We gave out a freebee last week during TheLineBreakers.com podcast that Robert Morris would cover the spread against Buffalo.  Penn State’s formidable defensive line will focus on stopping Buffalo’s Jeret Peterson who is the MAC Freshman of the year in 2018 after gaining 1013 years. Buffalo has to worry about 4 Penn State backs- Noah Cain, Devyn Ford, Ricky Slade and Journey Brown. Together they had 198 yards, 6 TDs on 25 carries last week. Last year the Bulls had 10 wins and won the MAC East Title. However, this is only the 3rd winning record in 20 seasons. Their problem stems from having a few veteran players leave to try the NFL and some transferred to other schools. Look for Penn State QB Sean Clifford to go 300 plus yards in this game as they show they are the real deal at #15 in college rankings.  Too much speed and too much talent will wear down the Bulls in the second half. Penn State easily wins this one and covers the spread as you collect more dough to spend on a bucket list vacation or that man cave you’ve thinking of building in the basement.  

5. Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)

Tennessee is coming off of one of their worst losses in history last week. Georgia state came in and dotted them up and down the field, and got paid 1 million to do so. Tennessee will be very ready to play BYU on Saturday. BYU is 0-8 since 1992 against the SEC. They can’t handle the speed of the league. Tennessee is always failing to live up to expectation but we see them looking to get some redemption after being embarrassed last week.  Reminds us a lot of how they started off last year, they came out and lost their opener, then the next week they came out firing on all cylinders. Take Tennessee to cover the 3.5 and lets cash this ticket. ROCKY TOP!!!

NFL

6. Dallas Cowboys (-7)

Opening week 1 for the 2019 season always has some good rivalries. The Cowboys and Giants have met approximately 115 in their rivalry with the Cowboys winning 9 of the last 10 opening day games against the Giants. The average score is 32-17.  Look for this week to be no different than the past as the star studded Cowboys trounce the Giants. The Cowboys will be tough against the run. They ranked 5th against the run last year.  The Giants defense, on the other hand, struggled against the pass and rush last season. They ranked in the bottom 10 in pass defense, scoring defense, total defense and ranked 26th against WRs last year. This game sets the Giants up for more crying on the sidelines.  The new offensive coordinator, Kellen Moore, will be bringing in so many pre-snap motion and misdirection plays that will turn the Giants head like a top.  Then there’s EZEKIEL ELLIOT who concluded a lucrative extension on his contract. Ezekiel will be running through the Giants showing off his newfound enthusiasm for the Cowboys. The Giants do have Saquon Barkley who had over 200 all-purpose yards in two games last year against the Cowboys. It will not be enough as old man Eli Manning provides a good show but falls short in this opening game. Take the Cowboys  (-7) and ride your bankroll like a bull. YEE HAW!!!

7. Atlanta Falcons (+4)

The Falcons will play in Minnesota on Sunday at 1pm. They were unlucky last year with numerous injuries on both sides of the ball, everyone is back and healthy and read to get after it. Their defense is very fast, they rely on their speed to get up and make those tackles. The Vikings love to work the run and play action game. We see the falcons getting off to a hot start and not looking back, we fee the Vikings do not match up great against the Falcons high octane offense. Julio Jones has been one of the best WR’s in the game and we don’t see that changing against the Vikings, he will get his 8-10 targets and make the most of them. A big factor in this game in second year WR Calvin Ridley, who had a breakout year as a rookie last year and they see him as being a key part of their offense moving forward. Talking Vikings, Kirk Cousins has had a hard time being able to keep up with the top tier QBs in the league, we see him being under fire most of the game on Sunday. Vikings won’t be able to match the falcons offense nor handle the speed on defense, take the Falcon’s and the  points and let’s cash this ticket.

8. Philadelphia Eagles (-10)

Despite the fact that division rivals usually play games closer than expected, I don’t see the Redskins keeping this one close.  Many have picked the Eagles to not only win the division, but to go far in the playoffs and for the Skins to finish last, not only in the division but the entire league.  Ten points is the largest point spread on the board, but the Eagles have a ton of talent and the Skins have none. Head coach Gruden probably doesn’t last the year, but at least he doesn’t have to deal with Antonio Brown like his bro!

9.Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)

Tampa Bay has a new head coach and defensive coordinator in Arians and Bowles who I believe will get this team headed in the right direction.  QB Winston needs to step up his game, which I think he will. San Fran has some concerns; especially losing running back McKinnon and having a QB who missed most of last year with a torn ACL.    Favored by 1 at home, I look for the Bucs to cover.

10.Miami Dolphins (+6.5) 

HOME DOG!!! That is what we have here for the first week of NFL games.This is the NFL, home field brings certain things out of teams and it really does help. Whether it is being able to sleep in your own bed or having your fans cheering for you, it beings an added element that has to be accounted for. The Dolphins went 3-1 last year as the Home Dog and we see them being able to get this ticket chased for you today. The Dolphins are starting a seasoned veteran in Ryan Fitzpatrick, he has seen all of the coverages and knows the system. The Dolphins defense will keep it close and with help from the 6.5 points, we see the Dolphins being able to cash you this ticket. Phin UP!!!!!

 

***We advise looking into using pointsbet app for betting our picks, value is a big part of gambling. The pointsbet app is running promos to bet Atlanta and spreads are -105. This value is great for betting NFL, just a heads up from– TheLineBreakers***

 

Line Breakers Daily Picks and NFL Future Over/Unders

 

Saturday 8/30 with Bonus NFL opening night play:

NFL PLAY- Thursday 9/5

1. Green Bay Packers/Chicago Bears under 46 points

Coming into week 1 in the NFL teams always seem to not have that mid season groove. Running an NFL offense takes time to really find that right pace and the right playcalling that works for that years team. The Bears have an ok offense really feeds through their stellar defense and their ability to cause turnovers. They have the ability to give them a short field, whether that is from a special teams return or a turnover. We don’t love their offense especially in a week one game, Mitchell Trubisky is a guy that is not going to light up the boxscore and is very much a game manager. The Packers have a brand new head coach. This will be the first time that Rodgers is not running the Mike Mccarthy system. As we all know Rodgers is fully capable of reading any defense it will take time for this offense to really click with everyone and have them gel together. Look for this game to be a stalemate throughout the first half until someone pulls away late in the game. Bear down and Go Pack GO, take the under and lets get this NFL season off with a huge win to grow your bankroll. 

College Football Plays- Saturday 8/31

2. Alabama Crimson Tide/Duke Blue Devils over 56 points 

College football is back!!!!! Thank god. The First games can be tricky because most big power 5 teams play pushover games. We have a good one for you today. Alabama is coming out for a redemption year. After getting blown out in the National Championship game they want to come out and set the tone this year. Nick Saban will have them ready to play today. Tua Tagovailoa is starting his Heisman campaign and it starts against Duke. Duke just lost their first round QB last year and are starting a redshirt senior this year in Quentin harris. Duke is returning their starting running back, we expect the box to be loaded to stop him today. The Blue Devils lost their top two wide receivers from last year due to graduation. They have unproven wide outs starting the biggest game of their lives, we expect a lot of three and outs in the game today. Tua and star wideout Jerry Juedy are always a threat for one play touchdown. Loo for them to connect on a couple big plays that result in touchdowns. Take the OVer and lets start this college football season off right. ROLL TIDE!!! FIGHT BLUE AND WHITE!!!!

3. USC (-13.5) 

USC had a down year in 2018. They are looking to come out strong this year. We love them today because they have a QB that has the arm talent to compete in the NFL one day. He is returning in his sophomore year having started every game last year. He has a plethora of wide receivers to throw the ball too including two players who will play on sundays. Michael Pittman Jr. and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Both pl[ayers are studs and look for them to get the ball early and often. Fresno State had a great year last year but were a different team on the road than at home. They have a new starting QB this year who transferred in. Fresno state had a great team last year but they lost all three of their linebackers last year. Big question mark for their replacements this year. They also lost 8 wide receivers last year and have only one player who is proven. We love USC in this game to start fast and end strong. FIGHT ON!!!

4. Memphis Tigers/Ole Miss Rebels over 67.5 

It’s college football Saturday and we have an easy over for you here at TheLineBreakers. This total is screaming over, two teams that score at will with no defense in sight. The sucker play here is taking the Rebels or the Cougars on the spread. Why? There is no need, take the over. The over is definitely the play here as both these offenses were both in the top 10 last year. It isn’t a sure thing to predict last year’s success with this years, but not many starters have left for either side and the years of experience that these returning starters will give you generally better chemistry. The over is the play here and with the way the Ole Miss plays in the SEC vs. Alabama the Cougars have no shot to defend them, years defensive stats would confirm it. The fact that the offenses can match score for score is the easy way for OT if needed and the over to hit. However even though there isn’t much data behind the pick due to week 1 of football, love the over here. Take over 67.5 and lets start college football with a bang. HOTTY TODDY!!!

5. LSU Tigers -25 

LSU at home is the pick here, it’s not a game that everyone will watch. This is a game we talk about no one cares. This game is going to be a slaughter, can’t wait. LSU is 32-1 all time vs. Georgia southern. We know the Money Line bet isn’t the bet here, but with how well LSU played at 10-3 last year we love the Tigers to crush Georgia southern by 40. LSU is pre ranked # 6 in the nation and playing 6th in the country. The dominant offense and defense they have shown should allow for a blow out here, once again not many stats in the first week of football, but we see the 25 point spread as value and we are on the Tigers in week 1. Take LSU -25 and watch the Tigers opening day ass whooping show as the ticket cashes. GO TIGERS!!!

6. PENN STATE (-39.5) 

15th ranked Penn State will dominate unranked Idaho at Beaver Stadium. The Vandals have a history of coughing up large numbers against real football teams like the Nittany Lions. It will be more of the same when the Vandals melt in front of a wall of white screaming at Beaver Stadium.  Penn State will light up the scoreboard like a Christmas tree as they showcase their new quarterback, running back and retooled offensive line. This will be the first game of the season and Penn State will want to work out their formations during this romp to victory on opening day. Look for Penn State’s defensive front to pick up several sacks as it dominates the line of scrimmage. Take Penn State (-39.5) and collect your dough in week one!!!! WE ARE PENN STATE!!!

 

NFL SEASON TOTAL FUTURES PICKS

 

Washington Redskins Under 6/6.5 Wins

Most predict that the Redskins will have one of the worst records in all of football and certainly be last in the NFC East; a traditionally strong division, where the last-place team usually has less than 6 wins. The Eagles and Cowboys both look to be tough matchups and the Skins also have the Bears, Packers, Vikings and Patriots to contend with.

They have a lousy quarterback in Case Keenum, a questionable offensive line, no great receivers and a weak defense.  All this adds up to a very long and painful season for Skins fans. They can ease their pain by betting on the under for the year.

Los Angeles Rams Over 10.5 Wins 

I don’t normally like betting on any team to win double digits, because one key injury and that bet is toast.  Having said that the one we like out of the four at the top of the projected win list is the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams won 13 last year and 11 the year before that. 

Their quarterback Jared Goff has matured quickly and has a great receiving corps.  The defense proved last year that they are one of the best and held the Pats to only 13 points in the Super Bowl.

The Rams are favored to win their division and as such will probably achieve that with 11 or more wins.  The NFC West division winner has had 11 or more wins eight years in a row!

You should take the over and you might even consider betting on them to win the NFC Championship again to go with it as I did last year, cashing a nice ticket.

Cleveland Browns Under 9.5 Wins

Perhaps no team in the league has had more hype surrounding them and predictions of having a great season than the Browns.   (The NFL has them scheduled for 4 night games!) The only problem with that, hype doesn’t win games, teams do, and this recently assembled cast of characters haven’t played one game yet that counts.  Even so, many are willing to hand them the division title already. With a young inexperienced coach, a brash quarterback, and impossible wide receivers; all spell average record at best, certainly not 10 wins or more.

Most Giant fans are happy that OBJ is gone, notwithstanding his immense talent.  He is a constant distraction and is always injured. His personality will probably clash with Baker Mayfield and when that happens, watch out.

The Browns must play the NFC West this year which is bad news for them and their win total as is the division they’re in.  Go with the under and sit back and watch things go bad.

 

New York Jets Over 7.5 Wins

Normally I wouldn’t predict a team to go from 4 wins to 8 or more the following year, but several factors have convinced me this is warranted in this case.  Most of that is based on second year QB Sam Darnold, who many believe is the real deal and the addition of Le’Veon Bell who has had over a year to rest and get healthy.    Look for Bell to post some great numbers in the first year of his new contract to prove he was worth the high price and for Darnold to live up to his high draft number and flourish in his sophomore campaign as many young great quarterbacks have done for ages. 

With new head coach Adam Gase and his offensive minded philosophy and a new defensive coach, with a proven track record, the Jets should having a winning record.  That is something they have done in the first year of every new head coach the last 4 times. Look for them to make it 5 times and bet the over. 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 6.5 Wins

With Bruce Arians coming out of his one year retirement to work with an underachieving Jameis Winston, I think the Bucs can be a .500 team at least. Winston is in the last year of his contract and many are expecting him to grow up and post some big numbers to ensure a mega contract at the end of the year.

Although Todd Bowles was a disaster as a head coach for the Jets, he is great friends with Arians and the two focusing on what they do best, Bowles as defensive coordinator, Arians on offense, this could be a good match.

They have a very good receiving corps and will certainly put up plenty of points.  If Bowles can get the defense to click, look for the Bucs to post 8 or more wins.