Coop and the Mechanic are back this week talking about week one in NFL, The Good, The Bad, And the Ugly. Why you shouldn’t worry too much about how much teams play on week 1. Talking college football and we give you a huge tip on what too look for. thelinebreakers.com, visit us today and take advantage of our half off sale this month!!
It’s often said that Week One of the NFL season is the hardest to predict and I’m firmly supporting that theory based on how badly I did. Overall, I didn’t do too badly, but my best bets didn’t pan out and I let myself get talked out of my top two picks. I’ll have more to say about that ahead, but to start off with, how on earth can the Patriots be that good right out of the gate and/or how can the Steelers be that bad? On top of that, the Pats “acquired” Antonio Brown from the Raiders for free, somewhat reminiscent of when they got Randy Moss also from the Raiders and then almost went undefeated;— thank you Eli. Now AB’s just been accused by his former female trainer of sexual assault and rape in a civil lawsuit, three separate times!
So, in that one game we had the Good and the Bad. That leaves the Ugly; a crown that was easily grabbed by the Dolphins who clearly are “Tanking for Tua”, the Alabama QB. Which brings up the most lopsided line in a very long time for a home team. The Fish are getting 19 points at home against the Pats. Home Dogs are often gold and many people just can’t resist a big line for the home dog. But here we also have a division rival. Last week I specifically mentioned the Fish as playing the Pats tough even when they suck. Well they truly suck now. What a dilemma? For that reason, I’m probably staying away because I can easily see it being a blowout just as easily as Miami losing by 18 or less and covering.
Last week I violated my rule against laying a lot of points in a division rivalry game and laid the 10 on the Eagles vs. Redskins. Had they not spotted the Skins 17 straight points to start, they probably could have covered and were until the very end when as so often happens, they went into a prevent defense and let the Skins have a “Back Door Cover”. Eagles let Skins score while up by 12 and knowing that they would still win, but not cover. Not happy.
As I said earlier, I made the mistake of listening to other’s opinions on games I had already made my mind up on and decided not to bet them or post them as my picks. That will not happen again. In addition, I did something else I hate doing, betting lots of parlays and not enough straight bets. Going 3-1 or 4-1 is great, except when it’s a parlay and you don’t win anything. Those two parlays if bet as straight bets would be 7-2, which I’ll take all day and twice on Sunday.
Most analysts say that you should not put to much emphasis on week one results for several reasons, not the least of which is the lack of off season practice and preseason games without the starters playing for fear of injury. So if your teams looked really good or really bad, don’t place all your money on expecting the same result this weekend.
College football has all these games where a top 25 team is playing a patsy and just crushing them. We discussed this last week and the reasons for this. MONEY. Nick Saban gave a lengthy press conference exclaiming his dislike of the current system and his wish that the all the top teams play each other so that going 10-2 could still allow a team to play for the National Championship. He even mentioned New Mexico State who they had just trounced 62-10. While praising coaches and players, he said he’d prefer tougher competition and challenged the reporter to find him tougher teams who would agree to play them.
Notwithstanding that sentiment, we recommend taking top 25 teams in general and lay the points. Just look at last week’s results. You would have cleaned up. Coop and the rest of the team will post our picks at TheLineBreakers.com, so stop by the site, look around and if you like what you see, sign up for half price our weekly and monthly subscriptions.
Looking forward, we have eight home dogs this week, which is about as high as it gets. Notably, is KC giving 8 points to the Raiders who were a home dog last week when they easily beat Denver another division rival.
If Bruce Arians is a “quarterback whisperer”, he might want to raise his voice, because Winston threw 3 picks as the Bucs got blown out at home. Speaking of home teams sucking, it was a pleasure to watch the Browns get their asses kicked by Tennessee, especially as the most hyped team in the NFL, talk of playoffs or more and the fans showing up the day before the game!. Two words, Ha Ha. And once again, Beckham had to be in the spotlight sporting a ridiculously expensive watch during the game. A violation of the rules and clearly and ad campaign. Also against the rules. He, like Antonio Brown will soon be on his third team because all he cares about his himself. And he’s never won anything.
Despite all the hype by the NFL over the opening game Packers visiting the Bears was a major snooze. After waiting over 200 for an NFL game, I didn’t even watch until the end. We nailed the prediction that it would be an Under and oh boy was it. It was also underwhelming with a GB victory of 10-3. Under Lock. We will post this week’s college and pro football picks and analysis at TheLineBreakers.com, so visit our website and subscribe.
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