Coop and the mechanic are back talking to football and how defenses are effecting the betting landscape this year. Does home field really matter?!?!? We dive into what college games are big this week and give a freebie!!! Don’t forget to go to www.thelinebreakers.com to see who we take this weekend!
Defenses Week 7 NFL review.
What ever happened to the concept that championships were built on defenses? Well I guess that jumped out the same window as home field advantage. ( Nine road teams won this week!) The AFC has a losing record versus the NFC so that’s something to consider when evaluating your wagers. Other interesting trends you can bank on too. High scores. Look at how many high scoring games there were, many in the 60’s and a whopping 72 points in the Vikings-Lions’ game! (The Vikes supposedly have a good defense.) Only the Jets and Skins failed to score, but they both suck, so that’s not surprising. Speaking of sucking, the Falcons have tossed in the towel after losing again at home by trading wide receiver Mohamed Sanu to the Pats the other day. And if truth be told, I had some clunkers; including taking both the Giants and the Jets. I knew I was in trouble when everyone was taking Jets and I was poised to cancel my bet but didn’t feel like paying the penalty….. boy do I wish I had.
I’m never again betting on either of the local football teams, what a disaster they both were. After the Giants shit the bed on Sunday versus the Cardinals, I certainly didn’t expect the Jets to play worse, but they did. They didn’t even show up, getting blown off the field 33-0 to the Pats. That was hard to watch, and in fact, I did stop watching it after a while. Sam Darnold will forever have the “I’m seeing ghosts” comment attached to him if he fails as a Jets QB, much as Mark Sanchez is forever remembered as the “butt fumble” guy. I said before that I thought he was being brought back too soon and the win over the Cowboys might prove to be an anomaly. We’ll find out soon enough as they have three winnable games coming up.
The 4-3 Cowboys woke up Sunday night and spanked the Eagles who are now 3-4. If the friggin’ Giants hadn’t spotted the Cards 17 points to start the game, they might be 3-4 too and only one game out of a division that’s ripe for the taking by anyone not named Washington. I’m still surprised Dan Quinn still has a job in Atlanta after losing to the Rams at home, he’s gone very soon; especially since, as I said, they are 1-6 and already trading away good players. That, and Matt Ryan’s injury is why half the Vegas books don’t have a line posted and some have moved from Seattle minus 3.5 to minus 7. With an over/under off the board, stay tuned. I love the under if its anywhere over 50. Probably a parlay for me. Oops, another free play!
The 6-0 49ers beat a lousy Skins team in Washington but only scored 9 points. The Skins now go to Minnesota who have a surprisingly reinvigorated Cousins at QB, but once again another huge line of 16.5! I’ve never seen such large lines in one season and only half-way through the season…..That’s right, I said half-way! The NFL season always seems to fly by and this one is no different. Some other huge lines are 13, 13 and 14. That’s four games of 13 or higher! Last week we warned about laying big points and the Dolphins were never not covering the 16.5 they were getting from the Bills. So guess what we’re picking? Come see at TheLineBreakers.com., and some bonus picks.
Mahomes escaped a season ending injury with a dislocated kneecap, but that’s why Sunday night’s game versus Green Bay has them as a home dog. Rodgers had his first perfect QB rating last week and the Rodgers stack in fantasy won all the big fantasy pools.
Baker Mayfield will probably look like Sam Darnold versus the Pats…. OK, that’s a bit harsh, no one can look that bad, but Belicheat is certainly licking his chops at the prospect of going after another turnover machine and this time at home.
Once again I’d like to remind you if you haven’t yet signed up to bet online, make sure to shop around for the best offers of matching deposits and reimbursement for lost first plays. Another new sportsbook was announced today. To make your choice easier, got to www.sportsbookreview.com which has ratings and features of 175 sports betting sites! That’s right I said 175. The competition is fierce for your money, so take advantage and make them pay for your account. Most are offering $100 to $500 to get your business. (Over the past two nights I’ve taken FanDuel up on their $3 Bonus per point in the NBA, which pays you and extra $3 for each point your team wins by, the bonus alone paid me $42 bonus last night.) Then visit us at TheLineBreakers.com for help making the right picks. We have free bonus picks added too.
COOP TALKS COLLEGE AND DFS TheLineBreakers.com, you’ll see who we like. Free college pick……………?
Coop and the rest of the team will post our picks at TheLineBreakers.com, so stop by the site, look around and if you like what you see, sign up for half price for our weekly and monthly subscriptions. We have a lot of interesting content and all former the podcasts are archived there; you can also see that our analysis was right on, ….usually.
FREE PLAY THURSDAY is Skins v. Vikes. I like the Under 42 total tonight as the Skins have averaged on 8.4 points in last 5 games all while not giving up a ton of points in any of those games, the most being 33 to Pats. Our Free Pick Thursday hit again last week taking the under in the Chiefs game and suggesting taking the Chiefs as well. That’s a nice run of free play winners.
Take a look at TheLineBreakers.com, and subscribe, we have more content and a lower price.
Game of the week could be Cardinals v. Saints, that’s right, you heard me, the Cards v. Saints with Saints laying 10.5. Why, because you have Brees coming back after sitting out since Week 2 and the Cards on a three game winning streak. Both teams are 5-2 against the spread,…only the Colts are better at 4-1-1. To see our pick visit TheLineBreakers.com for our very reasonably priced picks. Other sites charge $40, $50 or more for one pick. We give you 10-12 picks for half that! That’s right folks, half that. We also give you the analysis for each pick, so you can evaluate what we are focusing on and make an informed decision.
Finally, a little PSA. Bet with your head, not over it is the phrase and if you believe you might have a problem, you probably do so call 1-800 GAMBLER
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