NFL and College football for 9/28-9/30
**BONUS PICK AT BOTTOM**
College football
1.Washington state/Utah over 56.5
We all saw last week how mikes leaches offense can score big at any time. The QB for Washington state scored a total of 9 touchdowns in their game last week vs UCLA. We also saw that Washington state can not handle really stopping teams from scoring. This over is very high but we feel that both the high powered offense can score in this game and that the defense’s will not really be a factor.
- Washington Huskies -10.5
Over the last few years we have seen Washington win a bunch of these games. They have proved to us that they can win these games and show that they are a team to be trusted in big games. They have Jacob Easton who will be playing on Sundays next year. He has a big arm and they love to show it off with their offensive scheme. USC is on to their third string QB this week. He had some success last week but it was against a totally different opponent. Washington will give him fits at times and really show that they want this win. Take the huskies and watch as they win you this ticket.
- Hawaii +2.5
A big Mountain West game is coming up this weekend. Hawaii has really come out firing on the offensive side of the ball this year and that is why we love them in this game. Their offense is not afraid to throw the ball around the field and they really trust their QB McDonald with making plays. Take Hawaii getting 2.5 , we would not be surprised if they won outright this weekend.
- Troy -7
Looking at the college football slate of games we go through our normal protocol looking for the games with the best edge. As we were looking we saw that the QB for Arkansas State is getting his first college start this weekend in a hostile territory. We like our odds in this game even with Troy having to cover 7 points. We will fade a QB making his first start every time, especially on the road. Take Troy and watch as they grow your bank roll!!!
- Michigan state/indiana under 44
Both of these teams have been very stingy on defense this year. Michigan state is 3rd in the nation in yards allowed per game. Indiana is no slouch either with giving up just the 25th most allowed yards per game. We expect this game to be a low scoring affair. It will be raining today and tomorrow up until game til which we see as a plus with this bet because it will effect the field conditions in a way to favorthe under. Take the under in this one and watch as your bank roll grows!!!
NFL
- Ravens -7 vs Browns
The Browns were the most over hyped team before the season began and they have already been exposed to be a mediocre team, at best. Baker Mayfield has regressed in his sophomore season, with a head coach in his rookie season seems over matched in all areas. He can’t even handle a press conference. Ravens are coming off a hard fought loss to KC on the road. On Sunday they welcome super bowl winning coach Brian Billick into their circle of fame with many of his former players their in attendance, I expect this to serve as an emotional
Boost as the Ravens expose the Browns on both sides of the ball.
- Chargers -15 vs Dolphins
I know that 15 points on the road is a lot, but the Fish are ranking and have been since BEFORE the season started. Teams usually give up after a bad start and see the season being lost. They then start thinking about being at the top of the draft next year. The Fish will have four first round picks next year and are looking to take QB/WR tandem from Alabama, Tua and Jeudy. Chargers are better on the road, as they don’t have a home stadium yet and although Melvin Gordon will not play, having him report to camp yesterday will help team morale I believe and will fire them for a beatdown on a team that never comes to playing the first Place. Miamiis 0-3 ATS and I think they will make it 0-4.
- Bengals/Steelers under 44
As I have pointed out in the past, some division rivalries are bigger than others. And non is more intense than this one. Even when the Steelers are dominating they have had trouble with the Bengals. And now with both teams sporting 0-3 records, they will both be desperate for a win. Just a total of 103 points have been scored combined by both teams, just17 points per game for both teams. They would have to do much better to hit the over in this one and I think it will be a very tough fought battle. Take the under and look for a slugfest.
- Kansas City at Detroit Lions Under 55
It is no shock the Patrick Mahomes has started this 2019 NFL season off with a bang, scoring at will. He is a QB that seems to effortless score on offense and help his team win games. The Chiefs will head to Detroit to square off vs. the Lions. We like the under here and not laying the 6.5 road favorite number on the board. The chiefs have now scored 2 games in the 30’s and 1 game just below 30, can’t sustain this. We know that teams that play on the road eventually go through some scoring droughts and have trouble manufacturing offense. We see the number 55 here and yell under, don’t get caught up with the chiefs beating the spread. The play here is under 55 total points as Detroit in our eyes Is fraudulent. This Lions team beat a chargers team at home who did everything possible to lose the game, not to mention having 3 separate TD’s called back or fumbled at the goal line. The Lions will have a tough time scoring points here in this game even at home. We also know that the NFL doesn’t care about covering spreads. We see the chiefs scoring 20-28 points and holding on to a victory, but better yet the lions will score 14 or less in our predictions. This total is way to high and we are happy to fade. We need 7 TD’s and 2 FG to be beat here and we are happy to lay our money against it. Take the under 55 here as we see the odds makers scared to set too low of a total.
- Oakland Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Over 45
We are on the Over here for several reasons, don’t start freaking out. The Colts and Raiders are a couple of the NFL’s worst defenses despite the Colts almost being 3-0. We see a lot of wholes and letting QB’s throw at will on both these defenses. The Colts almost collapsed to a valiant Atlanta effort at the end of the game and if it were for stupid decisions in the beginning of the game Atlanta might have won that game in a shoot out. The Raiders are just poor in general and have played 2 of the NFL’s premier teams. Even though the Colts and the Raiders seem like they might struggle on offense we can’t examine their offenses, but we have to examine both of their defenses and we see some huge wholes. The Colts have had the ability to come away with just enough stops to make sure they have won their two games, but they have allowed a pretty high percentage on 3rd down conversions. The Raiders have also not been able to stop anyone as 2 out of the 3 opponents faced have score 28+ points. This game is screaming over on our picks, despite the public going under. You want to be on the right side of this bet, take the over and watch how both teams despite being mediocre put up big numbers on Sunday. Take Over 45 points and watch this ticket cash
**Bonus pick**
Rams -9 vs Bucs
The Rams are one of only 4 teams that are 3-0against the spread and I look for them to continue to beat the odds. The Bucs blew a 28-10 half timeless at home to the Giants last week. They only scored 3 points in the second half and let a rookie WB beat them and win offensive player of the week. C’Mon man. You cost me money. As I said last week the rams are the real deal and covering 9 points should be nothing for last year’s NFC champions. Bus head coach and defensive coordinator made some ridiculous moves last week and I am starting to this they were both overrated as what they could accomplish after being apart for four years. Bowles couldn’t stop a rookie QB in his first game in his house and lit him up for 32 points! Good luck vs all the weapons on the Rams. This shouldn’t be close