NFL and College football for 9/14-9/16
College Football week 3 Plays
1. Middle Tennessee (+6)
Middle Tennessee faces off vs The Duke Blue Devils this Saturday. Duke is really not the same team they were last year, they have lost their starting QB to the nfl and are in an in between year at that position. They were horrible in their game vs Alabama. Middle Tennessee is looking to come out and fire on all cylinders, they see this as their super bowl, their national championship and will set the tone early. We love them getting six points and would advise you to take the points. Spotify our data is saying that they have a great chance of winning outright. Take middle Tennessee and let’s have a great bounce back weekend!!!!
2. Oklahoma Sooners (-23.5)
The Sooners travel to the west coast for this week 3 matchup. They face of against UCLA and are big favorites. They have shown that they can really score at will their first two games Chip Kelly’s Bruins have started out 0-2 in his second year as head coach. They have came out and lost two really bad games and now they have the big bad bullies from the Big 12 coming to town. We love Jalen hurts and his weapons in this game. Lincoln Riley is the best offensive mind in college football and this is the year he wants to really win it all after losing twice in the last two years in the semifinals. This game will be used as a call to action for his team so that they can stay focused on a west coast trip that couple very well happen come January. Watch as the Sooners dominate this whole game and cover the spread. BOOMER SOONER!!!!
3. Colorado Buffaloes (-3.5)
Colorado is coming off of a huge win vs Nebraska last week. They come back with another home game vs Air Force this week. Air Force is an all out running attack team, they have only attempted one pass this year. They are a team that can control the pace of the game if they are able to keep the chains moving. We see buffalo getting an early lead and Air Forces game style is the worst when they are chasing down a lead. This game on paper is basically a pick’em, but we love the Buffaloes playing in front of their home crowd. We would not be surprised at all if this game was a 2 TD game at all. Take the Buffaloes and LFG!!!!
4. Maryland Terrapins (-7)
The Terps have really just destroyed their first two opponents by now than 60 points each. Now they are playing Temple in an away game. This game is an early one and we love the Terps. Not only do they have a cool nickname but they have a laundry list of skilled players that have really gelled and shown that they can run this heavy passing offense ran by QB Josh Jackson. The Terps have way too much speed for Temple To be able to handle them, we would not be surprised at all if this game got out of hand in a hurry. Take the Terps to cover 7 and let’s grow your bankroll!!!
5. Memphis Tigers vs. South Alabama Jaguars 57.5 Over
This might be a “what the hell” kind of reaction from yourself with this pick. However, this is a game where we see there is good value on this over/under. No one really knows these teams, but we know that Memphis likes to run the score up on a lot of teams and they are a great offense that can score at will vs. sub average opponents. This should be an easy over as both teams had 500 yards of offense last week and we know Memphis will go off on South Alabama. We are counting on Memphis to hit 45 points like we know they can and have South Alabama bring us home with 14 points. Memphis vs South Alabama over 57.5 is the right play here and we see this being an easy over, take over and feel good having this ticket cash.
NFL WEEK 2
6. Atlanta Falcons Spread +1.5
Yes. We took the Falcons last week and they obliterated by the Vikings, losing 28-12. If there is one thing we will aim to teach you about sports betting in the NFL is two fold. First, you can’t over react to what a team does week to week especially if there are injuries or players not practicing. Second, home dogs of even strength are going to cover more often than not. If you are like most of the public and think the falcons are terrible you be wrong and will lose money taking the eagles this weekend. The home dogs will play more emotional at home, especially in the home opener in Atlanta on a prime time night. There is also a reason they say it is hard to win on the road in the NFL, its true. For those who think the Falcons are a bad pick simply because they were terrible let us fill you in on what you need to know. The Falcons were sloppy, but did you know they controlled the time of possession? We bet you didn’t. The falcons played one of the worst games they have in recent memory and teams that get embarrassed practice harder and come to play. One key thing was the Falcons had a bunch of turnovers, blocked punt, Julio not practicing, the worst of the worst, etc. The Falcons are a super underrated team and that’s where we define value. Matt Ryan is great in home openers and this is an easy bet with the home dog who is probably the better team, despite public opinion moving line the other way. We will fade the road favorite here who had a hard time beating a shit team at home and finally rallied past them late. Take the Falcons as they show you that week 1 is hard, but the over reaction betting will get you killed. We are on the Falcons and when they win you will be happy that you had them too.
7. Over 47.5 Chargers vs. Lions
We have been talking on the podcast about over/unders and the value can provide. This game will be a very high scoring game and although 47.5 is a decent amount of points we are all over this Over, pardon the pun. The Chargers were beating up on the Colts and then let them slowly back into the game before winning with a TD in overtime. We saw Phillip Rivers throw for 350 yards and 3 TD’s, looking sharper than ever. We like the veteran to stay on track vs. the Lions who let a true rookie come back from a great deficit to force a tie. Rivers should be able to make quick work of the Lions defense. We see the lions being down most of this game and Stafford having to throw to keep them in and the point totals going way high. The Chargers are not the lock down team like they were a year ago, allowing 300 yards to a backup in Brissett. The chargers were 7/11 on third down and also gave up 7/11 on third down. The pick here is the over and the value is there. Take the Over 47.5 as most people won’t see it a good pick for two teams who can’t stop anyone.
8. Cleveland Browns -6
Prior to the announcement that QB Darnold was sidelined with mono I had already bet the Browns at -2.5. Now I still like them even more with Bell not practicing, Enunwa out for year, again and probably forever with serious neck injury. Jets also canned their kicker after missing a short field goal and an extra point. Probably cost them the game. That was a horrible loss and Coach Gase throwing his own players under the bus after a week 1 loss is reprehensible. The Browns played as bad as possible in week one with 18 penalties, 3 late INT’s and 5 sacks. They can’t possibly play that bad again and the devastating news to Jets might just be too much to overcome. Now looking at a 0-6 start. Bell getting an MRI as I write this is also troubling to say the least.
9. Buffalo Bills -1.5
Buffalo returns to the Meadowlands where they overcame a 0-16 deficit against the Jets to win 17-16. Buoyed by that performance and a hapless Giants defense with no corners and no pass rush, look for Bills to dominate. Eli is a pocket passer and cannot at his age change into a mobile QB, despite what coaches might think. With the Bills impressive defense, it could be a long day for Big Blue. Giants looked bad on all three phases of the game against Dallas and made Dak look like Aaron Rodgers. He should thank the Giants for new contract he’ll be getting.
10. Los Angeles Rams -2.5
In a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship game which left the Saints team, coaches, owners and fans crazy mad I expect emotions to be running high, to say the least. But despite the fact that they want revenge, Brees is starting to show his age. If this game were being played in New Orleans, I would have a different opinion, but Rams at home I believe will prevail by more than a field goal. Saints were lucky to pull out a last second win last week, but that was due to poor defensive plan by Texans at the end of the game. Rams have a great home winning record and should win and cover against the Saints, again.