Line Breakers Daily Picks and NFL Future Over/Unders
Saturday 8/30 with Bonus NFL opening night play:
NFL PLAY- Thursday 9/5
- Green Bay Packers/Chicago Bears under 46 points
Coming into week 1 in the NFL teams always seem to not have that mid season groove. Running an NFL offense takes time to really find that right pace and the right playcalling that works for that years team. The Bears have an ok offense really feeds through their stellar defense and their ability to cause turnovers. They have the ability to give them a short field, whether that is from a special teams return or a turnover. We don’t love their offense especially in a week one game, Mitchell Trubisky is a guy that is not going to light up the boxscore and is very much a game manager. The Packers have a brand new head coach. This will be the first time that Rodgers is not running the Mike Mccarthy system. As we all know Rodgers is fully capable of reading any defense it will take time for this offense to really click with everyone and have them gel together. Look for this game to be a stalemate throughout the first half until someone pulls away late in the game. Bear down and Go Pack GO, take the under and lets get this NFL season off with a huge win to grow your bankroll.
College Football Plays- Saturday 8/31
- Alabama Crimson Tide/Duke Blue Devils over 56 points
College football is back!!!!! Thank god. The First games can be tricky because most big power 5 teams play pushover games. We have a good one for you today. Alabama is coming out for a redemption year. After getting blown out in the National Championship game they want to come out and set the tone this year. Nick Saban will have them ready to play today. Tua Tagovailoa is starting his Heisman campaign and it starts against Duke. Duke just lost their first round QB last year and are starting a redshirt senior this year in Quentin harris. Duke is returning their starting running back, we expect the box to be loaded to stop him today. The Blue Devils lost their top two wide receivers from last year due to graduation. They have unproven wide outs starting the biggest game of their lives, we expect a lot of three and outs in the game today. Tua and star wideout Jerry Juedy are always a threat for one play touchdown. Loo for them to connect on a couple big plays that result in touchdowns. Take the OVer and lets start this college football season off right. ROLL TIDE!!! FIGHT BLUE AND WHITE!!!!
- USC (-13.5)
USC had a down year in 2018. They are looking to come out strong this year. We love them today because they have a QB that has the arm talent to compete in the NFL one day. He is returning in his sophomore year having started every game last year. He has a plethora of wide receivers to throw the ball too including two players who will play on sundays. Michael Pittman Jr. and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Both pl[ayers are studs and look for them to get the ball early and often. Fresno State had a great year last year but were a different team on the road than at home. They have a new starting QB this year who transferred in. Fresno state had a great team last year but they lost all three of their linebackers last year. Big question mark for their replacements this year. They also lost 8 wide receivers last year and have only one player who is proven. We love USC in this game to start fast and end strong. FIGHT ON!!!
- Memphis Tigers/Ole Miss Rebels over 67.5
It’s college football Saturday and we have an easy over for you here at TheLineBreakers. This total is screaming over, two teams that score at will with no defense in sight. The sucker play here is taking the Rebels or the Cougars on the spread. Why? There is no need, take the over. The over is definitely the play here as both these offenses were both in the top 10 last year. It isn’t a sure thing to predict last year’s success with this years, but not many starters have left for either side and the years of experience that these returning starters will give you generally better chemistry. The over is the play here and with the way the Ole Miss plays in the SEC vs. Alabama the Cougars have no shot to defend them, years defensive stats would confirm it. The fact that the offenses can match score for score is the easy way for OT if needed and the over to hit. However even though there isn’t much data behind the pick due to week 1 of football, love the over here. Take over 67.5 and lets start college football with a bang. HOTTY TODDY!!!
- LSU Tigers -25
LSU at home is the pick here, it’s not a game that everyone will watch. This is a game we talk about no one cares. This game is going to be a slaughter, can’t wait. LSU is 32-1 all time vs. Georgia southern. We know the Money Line bet isn’t the bet here, but with how well LSU played at 10-3 last year we love the Tigers to crush Georgia southern by 40. LSU is pre ranked # 6 in the nation and playing 6th in the country. The dominant offense and defense they have shown should allow for a blow out here, once again not many stats in the first week of football, but we see the 25 point spread as value and we are on the Tigers in week 1. Take LSU -25 and watch the Tigers opening day ass whooping show as the ticket cashes. GO TIGERS!!!
- PENN STATE (-39.5)
15th ranked Penn State will dominate unranked Idaho at Beaver Stadium. The Vandals have a history of coughing up large numbers against real football teams like the Nittany Lions. It will be more of the same when the Vandals melt in front of a wall of white screaming at Beaver Stadium. Penn State will light up the scoreboard like a Christmas tree as they showcase their new quarterback, running back and retooled offensive line. This will be the first game of the season and Penn State will want to work out their formations during this romp to victory on opening day. Look for Penn State’s defensive front to pick up several sacks as it dominates the line of scrimmage. Take Penn State (-39.5) and collect your dough in week one!!!! WE ARE PENN STATE!!!
NFL SEASON TOTAL FUTURES PICKS
Washington Redskins Under 6/6.5 Wins
Most predict that the Redskins will have one of the worst records in all of football and certainly be last in the NFC East; a traditionally strong division, where the last-place team usually has less than 6 wins. The Eagles and Cowboys both look to be tough matchups and the Skins also have the Bears, Packers, Vikings and Patriots to contend with.
They have a lousy quarterback in Case Keenum, a questionable offensive line, no great receivers and a weak defense. All this adds up to a very long and painful season for Skins fans. They can ease their pain by betting on the under for the year.
Los Angeles Rams Over 10.5 Wins
I don’t normally like betting on any team to win double digits, because one key injury and that bet is toast. Having said that the one we like out of the four at the top of the projected win list is the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams won 13 last year and 11 the year before that.
Their quarterback Jared Goff has matured quickly and has a great receiving corps. The defense proved last year that they are one of the best and held the Pats to only 13 points in the Super Bowl.
The Rams are favored to win their division and as such will probably achieve that with 11 or more wins. The NFC West division winner has had 11 or more wins eight years in a row!
You should take the over and you might even consider betting on them to win the NFC Championship again to go with it as I did last year, cashing a nice ticket.
Cleveland Browns Under 9.5 Wins
Perhaps no team in the league has had more hype surrounding them and predictions of having a great season than the Browns. (The NFL has them scheduled for 4 night games!) The only problem with that, hype doesn’t win games, teams do, and this recently assembled cast of characters haven’t played one game yet that counts. Even so, many are willing to hand them the division title already. With a young inexperienced coach, a brash quarterback, and impossible wide receivers; all spell average record at best, certainly not 10 wins or more.
Most Giant fans are happy that OBJ is gone, notwithstanding his immense talent. He is a constant distraction and is always injured. His personality will probably clash with Baker Mayfield and when that happens, watch out.
The Browns must play the NFC West this year which is bad news for them and their win total as is the division they’re in. Go with the under and sit back and watch things go bad.
New York Jets Over 7.5 Wins
Normally I wouldn’t predict a team to go from 4 wins to 8 or more the following year, but several factors have convinced me this is warranted in this case. Most of that is based on second year QB Sam Darnold, who many believe is the real deal and the addition of Le’Veon Bell who has had over a year to rest and get healthy. Look for Bell to post some great numbers in the first year of his new contract to prove he was worth the high price and for Darnold to live up to his high draft number and flourish in his sophomore campaign as many young great quarterbacks have done for ages.
With new head coach Adam Gase and his offensive minded philosophy and a new defensive coach, with a proven track record, the Jets should having a winning record. That is something they have done in the first year of every new head coach the last 4 times. Look for them to make it 5 times and bet the over.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 6.5 Wins
With Bruce Arians coming out of his one year retirement to work with an underachieving Jameis Winston, I think the Bucs can be a .500 team at least. Winston is in the last year of his contract and many are expecting him to grow up and post some big numbers to ensure a mega contract at the end of the year.
Although Todd Bowles was a disaster as a head coach for the Jets, he is great friends with Arians and the two focusing on what they do best, Bowles as defensive coordinator, Arians on offense, this could be a good match.
They have a very good receiving corps and will certainly put up plenty of points. If Bowles can get the defense to click, look for the Bucs to post 8 or more wins.